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Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits
The Quarterly Journal of Economics
This paper estimates that the release of an additional ton of carbon dioxide today will cause mean damages to global mortality risk valued at $36.6 under a high emissions scenario and $17.1 under a moderate scenario, using a 2% discount rate that is justified by US Treasury rates over the last two decades. It is a core input to the Climate Impact Lab's Data-driven Spatial Climate Impact Model (DSCIM).

Published November 1, 2022

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American Climate Prospectus: Economic Risks in the United States
American Climate Prospectus: Economic Risks in the United States
The American Climate Prospectus (ACP) provides a groundbreaking new analysis of climate risks by region of the country and sector of the economy. By linking state-of-the-art climate models with econometric research of human responses to climate variability and cutting edge private sector risk assessment tools, the ACP offers decision-makers a data driven assessment of the specific risks they face.

Published October 20, 2014

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Nonlinear Permanent Migration Response to Climatic Variations but Minimal Response to Disasters
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Investigates the effects of variations in temperature and precipitation along with sudden natural disasters to infer their relative influence on migration, and suggests that permanent migration is influenced by climatic variations whereas episodic disasters tend to have much smaller or no impact on such migration.

Published September 12, 2014

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Climate, Conflict, and Social Stability: What Does the Evidence Say?
Climatic Change
Examines 50 rigorous quantitative studies on the question of whether violent conflict and socio-political stability are associated with changes in climatological variables and finds consistent support for a causal association between climatological changes and various conflict outcomes, at spatial scales ranging from individual buildings to the entire globe and at temporal scales ranging from an anomalous hour to an anomalous millennium.

Published September 12, 2014

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