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Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits
The Quarterly Journal of Economics
This paper estimates that the release of an additional ton of carbon dioxide today will cause mean damages to global mortality risk valued at $36.6 under a high emissions scenario and $17.1 under a moderate scenario, using a 2% discount rate that is justified by US Treasury rates over the last two decades. It is a core input to the Climate Impact Lab's Data-driven Spatial Climate Impact Model (DSCIM).

Published November 1, 2022

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Assessing Approaches to Updating the Social Cost of Carbon
National Academies Fifth Meeting of the Committee on Assessing Approaches to Updating the Social Cost of Carbon
Michael Greenstone describes pathbreaking new work by the Climate Impact Lab on how to forecast climate damages. Greenstone presented the team's work alongside other experts at the National Academy of Science.

Published May 5, 2017

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Weather, Climate Change and Death in India
Working Paper
There is a stark inequality in the effect of ambient temperatures on death in human populations. Using district-level daily weather and annual mortality data from 1957 to 2000, we find that hot days lead to substantial increases in mortality in rural but not urban India.

Published April 20, 2017

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Probability-weighted ensembles of U.S. county-level climate projections for climate risk analysis
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Two methods for constructing probabilistic time series of changes in physical climate parameters for quantitative assessment of climate change risk, applied to construct joint probability density functions (PDFs) of temperature and precipitation change over the twenty-first century for every county in the United States.

Published October 12, 2016

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